Mercurial > thoughts
changeset 134:b6cbdd5a9547
moar ideas.
author | Robert McIntyre <rlm@mit.edu> |
---|---|
date | Thu, 04 Sep 2014 15:58:12 -0700 |
parents | 35eb4c1a7bf7 |
children | 04394e3857e2 |
files | org/ideas.org |
diffstat | 1 files changed, 55 insertions(+), 0 deletions(-) [+] |
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1.1 --- a/org/ideas.org Thu Sep 04 15:33:15 2014 -0700 1.2 +++ b/org/ideas.org Thu Sep 04 15:58:12 2014 -0700 1.3 @@ -31,6 +31,61 @@ 1.4 getting credit. 1.5 #+end_quote 1.6 1.7 +- problem with Aubrey de Grey's ideas :: Aubrey de Grey says that we 1.8 + might be able to live forever by continually repairing our bodies 1.9 + at the cellular level -- he details 7 different mechanisms of 1.10 + damage and says that if all of them are dealt with /together/ 1.11 + that it would stop aging. (You can't miss even one because 1.12 + they're all fatal.) However, it doesn't take into account that 1.13 + we are also beings of information and that there is a very real 1.14 + software component to our existence. Even if our biological 1.15 + chassies can be maintained forever, I think it is unlikely that 1.16 + our minds will operate well far outside of the design constraints 1.17 + that we've evolved to handle. Say I programmed a webserver with 1.18 + the express goal of it being able to serve webpages for month on 1.19 + some stock server. I'll do fairly rigorous testing to make sure 1.20 + that it can handle the expected load then then some. Now say that 1.21 + you want to keep a particular instance of this webserver running 1.22 + indefinitely. (The program instance is like your mind and the 1.23 + computer it's running on is like your body). You might very well 1.24 + be able to keep the physical computer infrastructure running for 1.25 + forever by replacing hard drives / ram / CPUs, etc. However, 1.26 + since I designed the webserver to work for a month, it probably 1.27 + has memory leaks, rare stochastic bugs, or other build in limits 1.28 + / constraints (think log files or some date rollover shenanigans) 1.29 + that will ultimately kill the webserver server even with eternally 1.30 + perfect hardware. Do you really expect that a webserver 1.31 + engineered to work for 1 month will run for 10 years? In fact, if 1.32 + I put in the extreme effort to make it that robust, I've wasted 1.33 + time that I could have spent on other projects by pursuing an 1.34 + unnecessary engineering goal. Likewise, human minds have only 1.35 + ever run for at most 122 years before they are destroyed due to 1.36 + hardware degradation. Fixing the hardware doesn't change any 1.37 + software bugs that are almost certainly present in the human 1.38 + mind. Think of all the pathological things that can go wrong with 1.39 + a webserver, multiply it by a million, and that likely how 1.40 + evolution has designed our minds. For example, consider memory : 1.41 + why should you expect that we have evolved the ability to 1.42 + coherently organize memories past say 150 years? There's been 1.43 + absolutely no selective pressure for this ability, so you can bet 1.44 + that if there's any fitness to be gained from not having 1.45 + unlimited memory potential (such as better metabolic efficiency), 1.46 + we have it! You might think that maybe we would just forget 1.47 + things the same way that we sort of forget things that happen 1.48 + earlier in our lives, but complicated information processing 1.49 + systems don't have to fail gracefully when they're pushed far 1.50 + past their design constraints. A 150 year old person is just as 1.51 + likely to suffer a catastrophic psychosis due to software 1.52 + limitations associated with memory as he is to do something with 1.53 + all those memories we might consider reasonable. More likely, in 1.54 + fact, since there are so very many ways for a complicated 1.55 + software system to break and so few ways for it to run 1.56 + successfully. Therefore, I think Aubrey de Grey's "hardware-only" 1.57 + approach is missing a very important component of longevity 1.58 + science, and any successful effort to make people live orders of 1.59 + magnitude longer than they do naturally will need to deal with 1.60 + people's software as well as their hardware. 1.61 + 1.62 - validating neurocryopreservation :: Problem : you want to test 1.63 whether a brain is functionally preserved through vitrification, 1.64 but you don't want to figure out how to preserve all the other